Live Index

The AI Job Displacement Index

Built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?

Updated every 6 hours using Federal Reserve employment data, O*NET task-level AI exposure scores, and AI-scored news signals.

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0 = severe displacement  ·  100 = strong growth

“Our AI agent experience: we scrapped the multiple $60,000 salary marketing jobs and hired one person at a far higher salary — a direct, named account of AI tools eliminating multiple mid-level marketing positions and consolidating them into one role, illustrating concrete, quantifiable job displacement driven by AI automation.”

Hard Data

Federal Reserve · 70%

52.7

Sentiment

News & layoffs · 30%

24.0

Signals

scanned this run

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Hard Economic Data

Layer 1 · 70% weight · sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Methodology →
Unemployment Rate
4.2%
↑+0.1%
2026-09
Job Openings
7.1M
↓-256.0K
2026-08
Initial Claims
194K
↓-1.0K
2026-10
Nonfarm Payrolls
159M
↑+29.0K
2026-09

90-Day Score History

Federal Reserve hard data (green) vs news sentiment (orange) — when they diverge, a turning point may be near

Full chart →

AI Analysis: The labor market signals paint a broadly negative picture, with AI-driven job elimination, persistent underemployment among college graduates, and multiple company layoffs dominating the landscape. AI displacement is becoming increasingly explicit, with businesses openly consolidating multiple high-paying roles into single positions augmented by AI agents. Structural scars from automation appear to be deepening, echoing historical patterns of technology-driven labor disruption.

Leading indicator: Over the next 30 days, displacement pressure is likely to intensify as companies grow more comfortable publicly disclosing AI-driven headcount reductions. Expect continued consolidation of mid-skill white-collar roles, with hiring freezes and selective high-skill hiring becoming the dominant pattern in sectors where AI agents can substitute for teams of workers.

⚠ Divergence alert: Hard data and sentiment are diverging by 28.7 points. Public perception is more negative than hard data suggests - a potential leading indicator.

Latest Market Signals

Layer 2 · 30% weight · AI-scored news and market sentiment

↑ 0 bullish→ 1 neutral↓ 12 bearish

Reported AI Displacement Events

Layer 3

Verified layoffs where companies explicitly cited AI as the reason

Full analysis + ratio chart →

Jobs cut (AI-attributed)

415,087

since Jan 2023

Distinct events tracked

61

companies reporting AI cuts

AI share of total layoffs

0.2%

of FRED total layoffs (latest)

Most affected sector

technology

281,131 jobs cut

Unknown (first-person account)technologyNov 2026

AI agents were used to replace multiple $60,000 salary marketing jobs, with only one human hired in their place

3

jobs cut

AmazontechnologyOct 2026

Amazon cut 30,000 corporate jobs explicitly to focus on AI, as stated in the headline.

30,000

jobs cut

BarclaysfinanceOct 2026

Barclays is cutting 5,000 jobs explicitly as part of an AI push.

5,000

jobs cut

Most At-Risk Occupations

Scored 0–100 by AI task coverage — what AI can do today, not a job-loss forecast · 96 US roles tracked

All 96 occupations →

What is the DisplaceIndex?

The DisplaceIndex is a composite labor market indicator built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?

Every 6 hours, our pipeline pulls ten Federal Reserve economic series — spanning unemployment, job openings, claims, quits, layoffs, hours worked, and sector employment - and scores them against historical baselines. Simultaneously, our scoring engine analyses current news headlines and layoff announcements to produce a real-time sentiment layer.

The two layers are blended 70/30 into a single score from 0 to 100. High scores mean a growing, resilient job market. Low scores indicate accelerating displacement pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AI Job Displacement Index?▾

The DisplaceIndex is a composite economic indicator (0–100) that measures the real-time risk of AI-driven job displacement. It combines hard labor market data from the Federal Reserve (FRED) with AI-powered sentiment analysis of market signals to produce a regularly updated snapshot of displacement pressure.

How is the index calculated?▾

The index combines two layers: Layer 1 (70%) uses hard FRED data - unemployment rate, job openings, initial jobless claims, and nonfarm payrolls - scored against long-run historical distributions. Layer 2 (30%) uses our proprietary scoring engine to assess sentiment across news headlines and labor market signals. The composite score ranges from 0 (severe displacement) to 100 (strong growth).

How often is the data updated?▾

The DisplaceIndex pipeline runs every 6 hours. It fetches the latest available FRED economic series and scans current news headlines and layoff announcements to compute the updated index score.

What do the index labels mean?▾

Scores of 75–100 indicate Strong Growth (expanding job market). 60–74 is Cautious Growth (stable but moderate risk). 40–59 is Transitional (mixed signals). 25–39 is Displacement Pressure (notable job market stress). Below 25 is High Displacement (severe pressure from automation and layoffs).

Is this a prediction or a current snapshot?▾

The DisplaceIndex is a current snapshot, not a forecast. It reflects the state of the labor market and AI displacement signals right now, based on the most recently available data. Leading indicators like jobless claims and job postings do provide some forward-looking signal, but the index is descriptive rather than predictive.

Powered by FRED (Federal Reserve), BLS & proprietary AI scoring — full methodology →