Live Index

The AI Job Displacement Index

Built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?

Updated every 6 hours using Federal Reserve employment data, O*NET task-level AI exposure scores, and AI-scored news signals.

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0 = severe displacement  ·  100 = strong growth

Uber is cutting 3,300 jobs despite double-digit growth as it makes room for its robotaxi future — a direct, named-company example of automation (autonomous vehicles/AI) explicitly displacing workers even during a period of strong revenue growth.

Hard Data

Federal Reserve · 70%

52.1

Sentiment

News & layoffs · 30%

42.5

Signals

scanned this run

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Hard Economic Data

Layer 1 · 70% weight · sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Methodology →
Unemployment Rate
4.1%
0.0%
2026-08
Job Openings
7.3M
+89.0K
2026-07
Initial Claims
206K
+2.0K
2026-08
Nonfarm Payrolls
159M
+162.0K
2026-08

90-Day Score History

Federal Reserve hard data (green) vs news sentiment (orange) — when they diverge, a turning point may be near

Full chart →

AI Analysis: The labor market presents a deeply mixed picture: August jobs data showed strength in blue-collar and female employment, and AI-adjacent roles like implementation engineers command premium salaries, but Uber's high-profile decision to cut 3,300 jobs explicitly to make room for a robotaxi future underscores accelerating automation-driven displacement. A cluster of RSS-sourced layoff signals adds downward pressure, while the July jobs revision revealing a 23,000-job deficit suggests underlying economic weakness that could amplify AI displacement effects. The net sentiment tilts modestly negative as automation restructuring outpaces new AI-driven hiring in volume.

Leading indicator: Over the next 30 days, expect continued bifurcation: AI-adjacent technical roles will remain well-compensated and in demand, while management-layer and platform-economy jobs face further restructuring pressure as companies use AI investment cycles as justification for headcount reductions. Unemployment claims may tick modestly upward driven by tech and gig-adjacent sectors.

Latest Market Signals

Layer 2 · 30% weight · AI-scored news and market sentiment

4 bullish3 neutral10 bearish

Reported AI Displacement Events

Layer 3

Verified layoffs where companies explicitly cited AI as the reason

Full analysis + ratio chart →

Jobs cut (AI-attributed)

377,084

since Jan 2023

Distinct events tracked

57

companies reporting AI cuts

AI share of total layoffs

0.5%

of FRED total layoffs (latest)

Most affected sector

technology

251,128 jobs cut

UbertechnologySep 2026

Uber is cutting jobs to make room for its robotaxi future, explicitly citing AI-driven autonomous vehicle strategy as the reason for the overhaul.

3,300

jobs cut

Monday.comtechnologyJul 2026

Company explicitly cited an 'AI-driven growth strategy' as the reason for the layoffs

20

jobs cut

MicrosofttechnologyJul 2026

Microsoft cut ~9,000 employees at the start of its fiscal year 2026, explicitly tied to cost control as AI infrastructure spending climbs. Roles cut across sales, consulting, and Xbox.

9,000

jobs cut

Most At-Risk Occupations

Scored 0–100 by AI task coverage — what AI can do today, not a job-loss forecast · 96 US roles tracked

All 96 occupations →

What is the DisplaceIndex?

The DisplaceIndex is a composite labor market indicator built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?

Every 6 hours, our pipeline pulls ten Federal Reserve economic series — spanning unemployment, job openings, claims, quits, layoffs, hours worked, and sector employment - and scores them against historical baselines. Simultaneously, our scoring engine analyses current news headlines and layoff announcements to produce a real-time sentiment layer.

The two layers are blended 70/30 into a single score from 0 to 100. High scores mean a growing, resilient job market. Low scores indicate accelerating displacement pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AI Job Displacement Index?

The DisplaceIndex is a composite economic indicator (0–100) that measures the real-time risk of AI-driven job displacement. It combines hard labor market data from the Federal Reserve (FRED) with AI-powered sentiment analysis of market signals to produce a regularly updated snapshot of displacement pressure.

How is the index calculated?

The index combines two layers: Layer 1 (70%) uses hard FRED data - unemployment rate, job openings, initial jobless claims, and nonfarm payrolls - scored against long-run historical distributions. Layer 2 (30%) uses our proprietary scoring engine to assess sentiment across news headlines and labor market signals. The composite score ranges from 0 (severe displacement) to 100 (strong growth).

How often is the data updated?

The DisplaceIndex pipeline runs every 6 hours. It fetches the latest available FRED economic series and scans current news headlines and layoff announcements to compute the updated index score.

What do the index labels mean?

Scores of 75–100 indicate Strong Growth (expanding job market). 60–74 is Cautious Growth (stable but moderate risk). 40–59 is Transitional (mixed signals). 25–39 is Displacement Pressure (notable job market stress). Below 25 is High Displacement (severe pressure from automation and layoffs).

Is this a prediction or a current snapshot?

The DisplaceIndex is a current snapshot, not a forecast. It reflects the state of the labor market and AI displacement signals right now, based on the most recently available data. Leading indicators like jobless claims and job postings do provide some forward-looking signal, but the index is descriptive rather than predictive.

Powered by FRED (Federal Reserve), BLS & proprietary AI scoring — full methodology →