Live Index
The AI Job Displacement Index
Built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?
Updated every 6 hours using Federal Reserve employment data, O*NET task-level AI exposure scores, and AI-scored news signals.
0 = severe displacement · 100 = strong growth
“The running list of major tech layoffs in 2026 where employers explicitly cited AI (TechCrunch) represents the most direct and systemic signal of AI-driven worker displacement, cataloguing an ongoing wave of job cuts directly attributed to AI adoption across the tech sector.”
Hard Data
Federal Reserve · 70%
48.5
Sentiment
News & layoffs · 30%
32.5
Signals
scanned this run
11
Hard Economic Data
Layer 1 · 70% weight · sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)
90-Day Score History
Federal Reserve hard data (green) vs news sentiment (orange) — when they diverge, a turning point may be near
AI Analysis: The labor market signals are predominantly negative, with AI-driven layoffs at major tech firms like Microsoft and Meta, and a disappointing June jobs report adding to concern. A running list of tech layoffs explicitly citing AI underscores the accelerating displacement risk, while historical RSS-based layoffs from 2020 reflect compounding structural fragility. The lone counterpoint is tech leaders arguing for task augmentation over mass job loss, though this sentiment is not yet reflected in hiring data.
Leading indicator: Over the next 30 days, expect continued elevated initial unemployment claims from tech sector workers, particularly in software engineering and middle management roles, as AI-driven restructuring at large firms like Microsoft and Meta filters through the labor market and discourages hiring in adjacent industries.
Latest Market Signals
Layer 2 · 30% weight · AI-scored news and market sentiment
- News+0.20
- News+0.10
- News+0.00
- News-0.45
- News-0.50
- News-0.50
- News-0.70
- News-0.75
- News-0.80
Reported AI Displacement Events
Layer 3Verified layoffs where companies explicitly cited AI as the reason
Jobs cut (AI-attributed)
373,764
since Jan 2023
Distinct events tracked
55
companies reporting AI cuts
AI share of total layoffs
0.7%
of FRED total layoffs (latest)
Most affected sector
technology
247,808 jobs cut
Microsoft cut ~9,000 employees at the start of its fiscal year 2026, explicitly tied to cost control as AI infrastructure spending climbs. Roles cut across sales, consulting, and Xbox.
9,000
jobs cut
Oracle's annual regulatory filing confirmed: "The adoption and deployment of AI technologies across our operations have resulted, and may continue to result, in reductions to our workforce." 21,000 roles eliminated over the prior 12 months.
21,000
jobs cut
GitLab cut roughly 350 workers (14% of staff) to fund AI infrastructure investment and handle surging traffic from AI workflows.
350
jobs cut
Most At-Risk Occupations
Scored 0–100 by AI task coverage — what AI can do today, not a job-loss forecast · 96 US roles tracked
What is the DisplaceIndex?
The DisplaceIndex is a composite labor market indicator built to answer one question: how much pressure is AI putting on employment right now?
Every 6 hours, our pipeline pulls ten Federal Reserve economic series — spanning unemployment, job openings, claims, quits, layoffs, hours worked, and sector employment - and scores them against historical baselines. Simultaneously, our scoring engine analyses current news headlines and layoff announcements to produce a real-time sentiment layer.
The two layers are blended 70/30 into a single score from 0 to 100. High scores mean a growing, resilient job market. Low scores indicate accelerating displacement pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the AI Job Displacement Index?▾
The DisplaceIndex is a composite economic indicator (0–100) that measures the real-time risk of AI-driven job displacement. It combines hard labor market data from the Federal Reserve (FRED) with AI-powered sentiment analysis of market signals to produce a regularly updated snapshot of displacement pressure.
How is the index calculated?▾
The index combines two layers: Layer 1 (70%) uses hard FRED data - unemployment rate, job openings, initial jobless claims, and nonfarm payrolls - scored against long-run historical distributions. Layer 2 (30%) uses our proprietary scoring engine to assess sentiment across news headlines and labor market signals. The composite score ranges from 0 (severe displacement) to 100 (strong growth).
How often is the data updated?▾
The DisplaceIndex pipeline runs every 6 hours. It fetches the latest available FRED economic series and scans current news headlines and layoff announcements to compute the updated index score.
What do the index labels mean?▾
Scores of 75–100 indicate Strong Growth (expanding job market). 60–74 is Cautious Growth (stable but moderate risk). 40–59 is Transitional (mixed signals). 25–39 is Displacement Pressure (notable job market stress). Below 25 is High Displacement (severe pressure from automation and layoffs).
Is this a prediction or a current snapshot?▾
The DisplaceIndex is a current snapshot, not a forecast. It reflects the state of the labor market and AI displacement signals right now, based on the most recently available data. Leading indicators like jobless claims and job postings do provide some forward-looking signal, but the index is descriptive rather than predictive.